Mr. David Kuchen was a 30 year old MBA graduate, who wished to acquire a small business located in Toronto, Canada, named Cake Master, a small company engaged in the business of manufacturing confectionary and bakery items. Mr. Kuchen had the view of investing in the small business and efficiently and effectively managing it, by becoming Senior Manager for at least 5 years. He looked at this business as very promising and decided to acquire it with the investment of $5 million, a price tag labeled by Mr. Eugene, the person who set this business up around 20 years back. The bakery had 54 employees.
The business of Cake Masters revolved around supplying high-quality bakery item to retail chains. Mr. Eugene offered Kuchen to acquire his own business for a price tag of $5 million without any sort of debt.
As stated in the case, Mr. Kuchen also had another option available, with the business generating less EBITDA than the target set by Mr. Kuchen, but he opted for Cake Masters. He believed that the company will see growth in the near future and will bring positive cash flows. As requested, we have carefully analyzed and evaluated the Cake Masters’ historical financial statements and future projections.
SWOT ANALYSIS:
- The internal strengths and external opportunities which we had analyzed were good expected market for the bakery items, good recognition of the bakery in the area, low substitute’s involvement due to the inherent characteristics of the cake, price and image of the bakery among the customers were the key to the success.
- The internal weaknesses and external threats to the deal were that Mr. Kuchen was inexperienced enough to run the business, the industry has very low barriers to entry since there is easy access to the manufacturing equipment and requires low amount of investment, low buyers loyalty and high price tag.
On the other hand, if we have a look at the financial propositions of the deal, it seems like if Mr. Kuchen goes for the deal, he should ask for lower price tag, since the net present value of the 5 years deal is bit negative, but with the high probability of increase in cash flows in the future, it is expected that the demand for the sweet dishes and bakery items will tend to increase with a constant rate of 17%.
If I were Mr. David Kuchen, I would have asked the seller of the bakery to bring down his price tag of $5 million to $2.5 to $3 million, as it is considering the SWOT analysis, DCF valuation and Comparison Analysis. The said price seems to be reasonable regarding all the positivity of the deal as we talk about Comparative Analysis; the Cake Masters was doing fairly well against the industry averages. So, it is suggested that, Mr. David Kuchen should go for the deal subject in order to lower the price tag and if the deal is intact on the original price tag, then he should consider managing the business for more than 7 or 8 years.
Appendices:
PRECEDENT TRANSACTIONS | ||||||
($000s) | ||||||
Target Company |
Date |
Sales* | EBITDA* | Price** | Multiple of EBITDA | Multiple of Sales |
Artie's Artisan Breads |
2-Apr |
12,000 |
1,300 |
7,800 |
6.00 |
0.65 |
Fresh Bakery |
Dec-98 |
2,200 |
350 |
1,225 |
3.50 |
0.56 |
The Cake Shoppe |
1-Nov |
3,000 |
600 |
2,700 |
4.50 |
0.90 |
Bakeco |
3-Jun |
35,000 |
3,000 |
36,000 |
12.00 |
1.03 |
Toronto Cakery |
2-Jul |
6,000 |
750 |
3,000 |
4.00 |
0.50 |
Industry Averages |
|
|
|
|
6.00 |
0.73 |
Cake Masters |
2004 |
5,768.20 |
712.5 |
4,403 |
6.18 |
0.76 |
($000s) | ||||||
2004E |
2005F |
2006F |
2007F |
2008F |
2009F | |
Revenue - fresh cakes | ||||||
Franco's |
$ 4,638 |
$ 5,565 |
$ 6,678 |
$ 8,014 |
$ 9,617 |
|
Other accounts |
$ 2,284 |
$ 2,513 |
$ 2,764 |
$ 3,040 |
$ 3,344 |
|
$ 6,922 |
$ 8,078 |
$ 9,442 |
$ 11,054 |
$ 12,961 |
||
Revenue – par baked cakes | ||||||
Revenue |
$ 900 |
$ 1,800 |
$ 3,000 |
$ 3,600 |
$ 4,200 |
|
Total Revenue |
$ 7,822 |
$ 9,878 |
$ 12,442 |
$ 14,654 |
$ 17,161 |
|
Gross Margin | $ 2,212 | $ 2,693 | $ 3,283 | $ 3,856 | $ 4,518 | |
Operating Expenses |
$ 1,173 |
$ 1,482 |
$ 1,866 |
$ 2,198 |
$ 2,574 |
....................
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The entrepreneur has to decide whether to bid for the purchase of a commercial bakery, cake artists, given his goal in his quest and his investors expected return of 20-30 per cent. If he bets, he must decide how much the bet and what form of consideration. Students are introduced to the assessment methodology, and will assess the acquisition or opportunity to understand the process of acquiring a small company, to know how previous transactions are considered and learn about the discounted cash flow analysis. "Hide
by Craig Dunbar, Ken Mark Source: Richard Ivey School of Business Foundation 13 pages. Publication Date: June 21, 2006. Prod. #: 906N07-PDF-ENG