Flash Memory Inc. Harvard Case Solution & Analysis

BALANCE SHEET

The balance sheet of the company reads a similar image as that of the Income Statement of the company. The company’s total assets increase in the first three years, but subsequently that they go down drastically in the following two years as the receivables and the amount of cash of the company are decreasing simultaneously that is bringing down total current assets, which is causing a precipitous fall in the total assets.

In the other half of the balance sheet, the current liability seems to come to a stop; this is mainly because current liability is taken as 0.62% of sales of that year. Moreover, reduction in sales had brought a reduction in liability, but the society is not profiting from it, which is a clear reflection in the return on equity of the fellowship that is decreasing by a steep pace in the final three years. This decrease indicates that with the passing of time, the investment starts to lose its value and the return on it begins to contract until the market completely rejects the product.

Forecasted Balance Sheets, 2010–2012 ($000s)

 

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Cash

               3,960

               4,752

               4,752

        4,224

        3,465

Accounts receivable

            19,726

            23,671

            23,671

     21,041

     17,260

Inventories

            13,865

            16,638

            16,638

     14,789

     12,132

Prepaid expenses

                  480

                  576

                  576

           512

           420

Total current assets

            38,031

            45,637

            45,637

     40,566

     33,277

Property, plant & equipment at cost

               8,182

               9,082

               9,982

     10,882

     11,782

Less: Accumulated depreciation

               2,179

               2,793

               3,474

        4,223

        5,039

Net property, plant & equipment

               6,003

               6,289

               6,508

        6,659

        6,743

Total assets

            44,034

            51,926

            52,145

     47,226

     40,020

Accounts payable

               4,799

               5,759

               5,759

        5,119

        4,199

Notes payable (Balancing Figure)

            14,320

            16,930

            13,341

     13,342

     13,343

Accrued expenses

                  876

               1,051

               1,051

           934

           767

Income taxes payable

                  226

                  264

                  254

           219

           168

Other current liabilities

                  744

                  893

                  893

           794

           651

Total current liabilities

            20,966

            24,897

            21,299

     20,408

     19,128

Common stock at par value

                     15

                     15

                     15

              15

              15

Paid in capital in excess of par value

               7,980

               7,980

               7,980

        7,980

        7,980

Retained earnings

            15,087

            19,049

            22,866

     26,151

     28,672

Total shareholders' equity

            23,067

            27,029

            30,846

     34,131

     36,652

Total liabilities & shareholders' equity

            44,034

            51,926

            52,145

     54,540

     55,780

Number of shares outstanding

               1,492

               1,492

               1,492

        1,492

        1,492

           
ROE             0.15             0.15             0.12       0.10       0.07
Book Value per Share             15.5             18.1             20.7       22.9       24.6

INVESTMENT APPRAISAL

The demand for continuous updating and innovation in the company has up taken a project for a major new product line, which will increase sales, earnings and cash flows. The company needs $2.2 million of finance to up hold this project; the society has two alternatives to finance this project that us either to take on debt finance by taking further loan notes and pledging 90% value of the receivables or the society can trade its shares privately.

Under both conditions, Discounted Cash Flow has to be brought forth as both finance options have different risk profiles; both choices will contribute to different cost of capital of the company calculated through WACC. Below each option, net present value has to be computed and the option that has a greater NPV will be the most viable choice for the company.

The discounted cash flow is conducted through data supplied as per the example,

Discounted Cash Flow

Investment In New Product Line  (USD millions)

Year

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Initial Investment

        (2.20)

Sales revenue

        21.60

        28.00

        28.00

        11.00

          5.00

Gross Profit Margin

               -

          4.54

          5.88

          5.88

          2.31

          1.05

               -

Advertising

        (0.30)

Taxable Profit

        (2.20)

          4.24

          5.88

          5.88

          2.31

          1.05

               -

Taxation

        (1.69)

        (2.35)

        (2.35)

        (0.92)

        (0.42)

Profit After Taxation

        (2.20)

          4.24

          4.19

          3.53

        (0.04)

          0.13

        (0.42)

Working Capital

        (5.65)

        (7.32)

        (7.32)

        (2.88)

        (1.31)

               -

Add Back Depreciation Expense

          0.44

          0.44

          0.44

          0.44

          0.44

               -

Working Capital – Recovered

        24.49

Net Cash Flows

        (2.20)

        (0.97)

        (2.70)

        (3.36)

        (2.48)

        23.74

        (0.42)

WACC & CAPM

For the calculation of CAMP, equity risk premium is taken as 6% that is given in the case. The risk free return is taken as a 10-year treasury bond that is 3.70% as provided in the exhibit, but for the calculation of beta, the beta of competing companies have been taken un-geared to calculate beta asset. The average of the beta asset of the competitive companies is assumed to be the beta asset of the industry, which is then geared by the data of the Flash Drive company that gives a beta equity of 1.38 (Calculation of beta asset/ industry beta is conducted in exhibit-4).................................

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