Predicting A Firm’s Finacila Distress Harvard Case Solution & Analysis

Predicting A Firm’s Finacila Distress Case Study Solution

Ratio Analysis

For identifying the financial distress and effect on the liquid assets for the year 2008, the ratio analysis has been performed. In this cash ratio; current ratio, working capital, cash flow to debt ratio and other related ratios have been calculated. (See appendix 4 for ratio analysis).

Cash and current ratios show increasing trends, while operating cash flows depict decreasing trends. The liquidity position for preceding years is better than its profitability position. The profitability position had been affected by two reasons, one is acquisition and another is the economic distress. The cash ratio for the year 2007 is .06, while current ratio is 1.26, depicting that company had 0.06 and 1.26 amount available for paying its liabilities.

Recommendations

After the thorough analysis of the company’s financial situation and its operational activities, it is recommended that the performance of the company for the preceding years of the acquisition should be evaluated by scrutinizing the company’s profit and loss statement, its balance sheet as well as its cash flows statement. The origin of this financial distress was the acquisition of the mortgage firm (First Franklin Financial corp.),which added to the massive loss incurrence,and the global environment had also affected the company’s performance and led it towards being acquired.

Conclusion

The world’s leading capital firm Merrill Lynch sustained it’s profitably for almost a century. Although, the company’s financial position had depicted that the company’s position was good enough to survive, but the company faced a huge decline in its revenue to the 1/3 of the last year, contributing to a massive loss of $8.6 billion in 2007, just a year prior to its acquisition by the Bank of America. The main reason behind its acquisition was the acquisition of Franklin Financial corp. in 2006, which added mortgage that was worth billions of dollars,hence resulting in a huge oss incurrence. What made the company’s situation worse was the fact that it had paid high bonuses along massive salaries to the CEO and CFO of the company, which had caused very negative effect on the company’s cash flows and led to the much worse situation for the company. To analyze the performance of the company, an analyst should evaluate the company’s earnings and its cash flows as it would help in depicting the company’s correct position.

 

Appendices

Appendix: 1

Income Statement (Trend Analysis)
Year 2007 2006
Revenues
Principal transactions -267% 99%
Commissions 22% 13%
Investment banking 20% 23%
Managed accounts -13% 10%
Earnings from equity investments 193% -2%
Other -176% 56%
interest and dividend revenues 43% 53%
interest expense 45% 65%
Net Interest Profit 32% -5%
Gain on Merger -100%
Revenues, Net of Interest Exp. -67% 34%
non-interest expense 0% 29%
EBIT (CONTINIUING OPERATIONS) -231% 45%
income tax -255% 39%
EBI (CONTINIUING OPERATIONS) -222% 47%
Pre-tax earnings from discontinued operations 127% 31%
income tax 151% 27%
114% 34%
Net loss/profit -204% 47%

Appendix: 2

Balance Sheet (Trend Analysis)
Year   2007 2006  
ASSETS  
Cash 29%           41,346         32,109
Cash & securities 71%           22,999         13,449
Receivable under resale agreement 24%          221,617       178,368
Receivables under securities borrowed 12%          133,140       118,610
19%          354,757       296,978
Trading assets
Derivative contracts 100%           72,689         36,262
equities and convertible securities 25%           60,681         48,527
corporate debt & preferred stock 15%           37,849         32,854
mortgages -37%           28,013         44,405
Non- US government securities -28%           15,082         21,075
U.S government& agencies -14%           11,219         13,086
Municipals, physical commodities 20%             9,136           7,643
15%          234,669       203,852
investment securities -1%           82,532         83,410
Securities received 81%           45,245         24,929
Other receivables
Customers 43%           70,719         49,427
Brokers and dealers 20%           22,643         18,900
Interest & others 59%           33,487         21,054
42%          126,849         89,381
Loans, mortgages 30%           94,992         73,029
Separate account assets -100%         12,314
Equipment & facilities 7%             3,127           2,924
Goodwill 107%             5,091           2,457
Other assets 30%             8,443           6,471
Total Assets 21%       1,020,050       841,303
current liabilities 19%          721,991       604,734
Non-current Liabilities 35%          266,127       197,527
Total liabilities 23%          988,118       802,261
Total stock equity -18%           31,932         39,038
Total liabilities & equity 21%       1,020,050       841,299

Appendix: 3

Cash Flow Statement (Trend analysis)
Year 2007 2006
CF from operating activities:
Net (Loss/Earnings) -204% 47%
Adjust to reconcile to cash used
Gain on merger -100%
Gain on sale of MLIG
Depreciation & Amortization 72% 11%
Share-based compensation expense -43% 215%
Differed taxes 1268% -255%
Earnings from equity investments 235% 1%
Other -85% 3%
Changes in op. assets and liabilities:
Trading assets -46% -314%
Cash & securities segregated or deposited with orgs. 772% -131%
Receivables under resale 182% -82%
Receivables under securities borrowed -44% -1397%
Customer receivables 123% 331%
Brokers and dealers’ receivables -45% 35821%
Proceeds from loans, notes, mortgages held for sale 74% 32%
Other changes in loan, note, mortgage 82% 38%
Trading liabilities 150% -177%
Payables under repurchase agreements -56% -33%
Payables under securities loaned -49% -933%
Customer payables 2% 1014%
Brokers and Dealers Payables -98% -892%
Trading investment Securities -1176% -142%
Other, net -62% -230%
Cash used for operating activities 205% -2%
Cash Flows from investing activities
Proceeds from (payments for)
Maturities of available-for-sale securities 1% -48%
Sales of available-for-sale securities 143% -56%
Purchases of available-for-sale securities 86% -39%
Maturities of held-to-maturity securities -89% 13%
Purchases of held-to-maturity securities -80%
Loans, notes, and mortgages held for investment, net -851% -93%
Proceeds from the sale of discontinued operations
Acquisitions, net of cash
Other investments -23% 354%
Transfer of cash balances related to merger -100%
Equipment and facilities, net -39% 322%
Cash used for investing activities -36% 1623%
Cash Flows from financing activities    
Proceeds from (Payments for)
commercial paper and short-term borrowings -31% -6024%
Issuance and resale of long-term borrowings 88% 77%
Settlement and repurchases of long-term borrowings 119% 36%
Deposits 141% 1421%
Derivative financing transactions 39% -65%
Issuance of common tock 160% 114%
Issuance of preferred stock, net 138% -77%
Common stock repurchases -42% 146%
Other common stock transactions -111% -774%
Excess tax benefits related to share-based compensation 35%
Dividends 36% 42%
Cash provided by financing activities 70% 179%
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents -47% -382%
Cash and cash equivalents, beg. Of period 120% -30%
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period 29% 120%

Appendix: 4

Ratio Analysis
Year 2007 2006 2005
free cash flow        (65,306)       (12,753)       (23,636)
Cash Flow to Debt            (0.07)           (0.03)
Operating Cash Flow/Net Sales            (6.43)           (0.70)           (0.96)
debt/equity ratio              0.03             0.05
Cash ratio              0.06             0.05
current ratio              1.26             1.23
Working capital        186,406       139,374                –
ROA            (0.01)             0.01
ROE            (0.24)             0.19

 

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